The Lonely Trader

trading the spot FX markets with nobody to talk to since 2001

Agricultural commodities price fluctuations worrying

Posted by The Lonely Trader on May 1, 2008

Where I am currently living, there have been riots as a result of price inflation. You could say that for each uptick in the price of wheat and rice and other ags, a few million more people go hungry. (Read: A few million more among the hundreds of millions already undernourished.) You can’t know what this suffering means until you actually get out of the wealthy urban centers and live among these people. Short of doing this, I invite everyone reading this post to take an hour or two out of a busy day to learn something about what these people are going through. And if you have a free month or two during the year, why not volunteer abroad in public works, public health, technology transfer, sustainable development, or humanitarian relief projects?

I won’t go into all the factors that complicate poverty alleviation, but it isn’t as simple as smug cynics often say. I am not one to say that speculation alone is responsible for the current increase in suffering. In fact, anyone who blames speculation ignores scores of much more important factors. This is the way I justify it to myself, anyway, so that I don’t feel like such a vampire.

Okay, back to trading. Take a look at the slides at the link below. Hat tip to Eddie Tofpik at ADM Investor Services International for sending me this presentation, given by John Fenton at the CFTC. Again, these are just slides — so that means all you “I just look at the pictures” types won’t have to actually read anything.

Agricultural Markets Roundtable

6 Responses to “Agricultural commodities price fluctuations worrying”

  1. Sam said

    Password for the CFTC Agricultural Markets Roundtable please?

  2. EDIT: Sam, try it now.

    Sam, sorry. I don’t know what is going on with WordPress. They have made a bunch of changes to their architecture and have done a very poor job of letting us know what the issues are or might be — this file should be viewable without a password. I’ll try to get it fixed ASAP. If you like, email me and I’ll send you the file.

  3. LP said

    Yeah I hate the new changes in wordpress…

  4. LP said

    Pretty interesting…the amount of corn used for ethanol…a form of energy that takes 1 unit to produce a grand total of 1 unit…yet we provide subsidies for it…which happen to place a lot of pressure on Wheat and cattle feed…Yet this stupid administration keeps subsidizing the corn farmer…severe case of Head in Ass Syndrome….

  5. And when we shift to sugar-based ethanol produced in Brazil, we’ll consume most of the best of its arable land as well. Food security for poorer people who rely on those same lands for subsistence farming will then be forced to migrate to the city — which for them means massive squatter settlements a la Johannesburg or Freetown or Sao Paolo, with little or no public services like public health, clean water and sewage, garbage removal, education or even electricity. We take these things for granted in the US, but on the fringes, even in a nascent country like Brazil, its pretty rough.

    (Does that mean I’m morally opposed to buying sugar futures? Hell no!)

  6. LP said

    I agree that crops for fuel is dumb…just plain dumb…consider the fact that we are on our way to wasting 3 Trillion dollars for the Iraq war…with that money we could have transformed the entire US into a solar and natural gas only energy consumer…we could have also expedited the new technologies like the electric car…no need for fuel from crops…

Leave a Reply

XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <pre> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>